It’s Premier League play-off time at the O2 as we get set for one of the biggest nights of darts we’ll see all year. Michael van Gerwen v James Wade and Raymond van Barneveld v Phil Taylor is the semi-final line-up, with the winners of either tie squaring off in a best of 19 leg final.
Simon Hopper has been finding winners throughout the Premier League season and he’s back to offer his best match and outright bets – enjoy!*Visit our Premier League Darts bettingcentre to compare all the best odds on every market from this year's tournament
Play-Offs (London, Thursday 16 May)
Michael van Gerwen v James Wade (7.15pm, Sky Sports 1)
Under 6.5 180s @ 11/10 – BET NOW
Tournament favourite MVG is around a 4/11 chance to beat James Wade, and anyone who saw his 7-1 destruction of Robert Thornton last week will know he’s in superb touch right now. Wade is 13/5 to win the match and scraped through to this stage after a creditable 6-6 draw with Taylor last week. The Machine was my ante-post tip at 18/1 and I definitely think he has a fighting chance here, as he relishes the pressure matches and he got the better of MVG in one of their regular season meetings. However, the bet for me here is under 6.5 180s at 11/10, despite the slightly longer format. Wade only averaged 2.3 maximums per game in the regular season so MVG will have to play very well to scupper this bet, and in a high pressure semi-final he may not be as fluent as usual.
Raymond van Barneveld v Phil Taylor (8.15pm, Sky Sports 1)
Raymond van Barneveld To Win 9/4 – BET NOW
Taylor strung together a six game unbeaten Premier League run to make the play-offs but there’s no question the Power has not played at his normal level this year. Barney drew with Taylor in their last Premier League match – a game the Dutchman should have won – and he’s racked up four straight wins so is coming back into form at just the right time. Barney should not be as big as 9/4 to win this game and from a pure value perspective he has to be the bet.
James Wade To Win @ 10/1 – BET NOW
In terms of who will win the Premier League, I still think the best value lies with James Wade. MVG is the 5/4 favourite, which looks about right and he is the most likely winner, but it’s hardly a backable price. Taylor is 15/8 which is spot on; it factors in both his recent below-par form and his excellent long-term record. Barneveld is 13/2 which could tempt a few given he looks more than a match for Taylor in the semi-final, but Wade at 10/1 still stands out. He’s been more than a match for MVG in their recent meetings and it would only take two excellent performances from one of these players to take the title. From a value angle Wade looks the bet, and it should be one of the best nights of darts we’ll see in 2013. --------------------------------------
Simon’s ante-post outright Premier League Darts bets:
James Wade Each-Way@ 18/1 (now 10/1)– BET NOWAdrian Lewis To Be Relegated @ 7/1 (Lost)
(*Note: Each-Way terms are 1/3 odds first 2)