Albania vs Finland Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 12th November 2026
The spotlight is on Albania and Finland when they go toe-to-toe at Air Albania Stadium, for an exciting match on Thursday. It is one of the many matches in round five of the Nations League C group stage, with teams fighting to secure qualification. Finland won 2-1 and 2-0 in the two most recent meetings with Albania, and go into their upcoming match with a psychological advantage.
Whereas hosts Albania sit as number 66 in the FIFA world ranking, visitors Finland arrive on Thursday as number 75.
We have reached the penultimate round of the group stage and as number one we have Albania on nine, whereas Finland are looking at seven as number three.
When it comes to goal-scoring Albania could be more prolific, scoring 16 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.6 goals per game in which, they conceded seven times. This is an average of 0.7 a game, achieving a clean sheet in five games.
Finland scored 14 goals, conceded five and managed six clean sheets in their previous ten matches.
Albania vs Finland Prediction
Albania Form
Albania beat San Marino by 0-3, lost 2-1 against Finland, before defeating San Marino 2-1. Albania won half of their previous six internationals, while also drawing zero. They lost three, while they scored eight and conceded five goals.
Finland Form
Finland have a win and a draw to show from their last three matches. They first finished even in a 0-0 draw with Belarus, before they won a game against Albania with a 2-1 scoreline. Unfortunately for them, this was followed by a 1-0 defeat at the hands of Belarus. In their last six internationals Finland won twice, while also recording one draw. They endured three defeats in this run, with a scoreline from these matches saying eight goals conceded and ten scored.
Albania are still undefeated on a highly respectable nine points after four rounds of the Nations League C. This puts them up as number one in their group and first place could be sealed with a win this coming Thursday. Finland are still in with a great chance of seeing the next stage after gathering seven points up to this stage. They should be highly motivated to get another good result in this second to last Nations League C group match this season.
In our opinion, current form favours Albania slightly more than current odds with the bookmakers suggest. We like the price on offer for the home win against Finland.
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Albania vs Finland Stats
- In 24 of the last 25 Albania matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 20 of the last 22 Albania home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Albania have won the last 4 home matches in a row in the Nations League C while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- Albania have won 5 of the last 6 matches in the Nations League C while scoring more than 1.5 goals
- In 8 of the last 10 Albania matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 9 of the last 10 Finland matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 8 of the last 10 Finland matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 2.5
- Finland have lost 3 of the last 4 away matches in the Nations League C while scoring less than 0.5 goals
- In 6 of the last 8 Finland away matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 4 of the last 5 Finland away matches in the Nations League C, the sum of goals was under 2.5
Albania vs Finland Team News
Albania vs Finland H2H
Finland got the better of Albania in the last two h2h meetings, winning by 2-1 and 2-0, respectively. Albania enter the match against Finland with a 0-0-3 record in their previous three encounters. A win rate of 0%, which is perhaps worth keeping in mind before you make a choice for your next accumulator, depending on your betting strategy.
Albania vs Finland Results
The scenario of both teams to score came out two times in the last three matches between Albania and Finland.
Albania vs Finland Betting Tips
Look no further than Kristjan Asllani, when searching for a marksman who is currently in good shape. He hit the target three times lately for Albania, while Leo Walta managed four goals in the last half dozen matches for Finland across tournaments. No doubt, both are looking to add to their total once again.
Albania claimed five wins, drew one and lost four of their previous 10 home matches across all tournaments. Finland won two, drew two and lost six of their last 10 games away. Both teams scored in three of the last 10 home league matches for Albania. Both teams also found the back of the net zero times in the previous 10 league games away for Finland.
In the last three encounters between Albania and Finland over 2.5 goals came out two times, as Albania averaged 0.66 goals a game. Finland scored an average of 2.01 goals in these, while both teams scored two times. Over 2.5 goals came out four times in the previous ten matches across all tournaments for Albania, who scored an average of one goal along the way. Over 2.5 goals appeared in five of the last ten matches that Finland played across all tournaments. They scored 1.7 times on average in the process.