Benfica vs Barcelona Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 5th March 2025

Barcelona are gearing for a clash against Benfica at Estadio da Luz on Wednesday in the first leg of the of 16 qualifying round for the Champions League.
Benfica secured a place in this tie by knocking out Monaco in the round 1/16. Although only drawing the return leg, a win in the first was more than enough to see them through with an aggregate score of 4-3.
Odds are stacked against Barcelona who require a minor miracle to see the next round. Losing 2-0 in the first leg is never good. Losing 2-0 at your own ground makes for a massive task away from home. It has the look of a final stop for the visitors this season in the Champions League.
Benfica step into their next match on Wednesday having scored a nice average of two goals in ten matches in this tournament. They managed a total of 20 goals, while also allowing 15 goals against. That is an average of 1.5 goals against per match. They were able to hang on to a clean sheet four times in those matches.
Ahead of their coming Champions League match, Barcelona look in excellent goal-scoring shape. In their previous ten games in this tournament, they hammered in an average of 3.2 goals a game. A highly respectable total of 32 goals, while also letting in 19. The latter leaves an average of 1.9 per outing, in which they managed a clean sheet two in this tournament.
Benfica vs Barcelona Prediction
Benfica Form
Benfica look good before their upcoming match, in which they seek to remain unbeaten. In their last three matches, they first beat Santa Clara by 0-1, before drawing 3-3 with Monaco. They were back as winners last time out, when they took out Boavista 3-0. Benfica just have a single home win to show from their efforts in the past six Champions League matches at the Estadio da Luz. They also drew three and lost two of these six encounters, in which they scored 15 and conceded 14 goals.
Barcelona Form
Barcelona are unbeaten in their last three matches, first beating Las Palmas by 0-2. This was followed by a 4-4 with Atletico Madrid and a 4-0 win against Real Sociedad. Barcelona claimed 13 points in their last six Champions League matches, winning four, drawing once as well as losing once. They conceded 13 and scored 18 goals themselves.
In current form, we favour Barcelona to claim a win, when they challenge Benfica at Estadio da Luz. We doubt, the home side is able to stop the visitors.
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Benfica vs Barcelona Stats
- In 15 of the last 17 Benfica home matches the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 3 Benfica home matches the sum of goals was over 4.5
- In the last 4 Benfica home matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 5 of the last 6 Benfica home matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 5 of the last 6 Benfica home matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In the last 11 Barcelona matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Barcelona have won 6 of the last 7 matches in the Champions League while scoring more than 2.5 goals
- In 9 of the last 11 Barcelona away matches the sum of goals was over 3.5
- In 9 of the last 11 Barcelona matches in the Champions League, the sum of goals was over 3.5
- Barcelona have won the last 3 away matches in a row and the sum of goals was over 4.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Benfica matches versus Barcelona in the Champions League the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 6 of the last 7 Benfica matches versus Barcelona the sum of goals was under 3.5
- Benfica have not won 6 of the last 7 matches versus Barcelona in the Champions League
- Benfica have not won 6 of the last 7 matches versus Barcelona
- In 5 of the last 7 Benfica matches versus Barcelona in the Champions League the sum of goals was under 2.5
Benfica vs Barcelona Team News
Benfica vs Barcelona H2H
Supporters will be hoping to see a similarly thrilling encounter, as it turned out to be the last time Benfica played against Barcelona. It finished 4-5 in a great match between the pair. Choosing a winner between Barcelona and Benfica from their head-to-head record is a difficult task as neither team enjoys a clear advantage. Barcelona won three of their seven encounters, while Benfica triumphed in one of the seven matches.
Punters probably shouldn't go looking for both teams to score when Barcelona come visiting Benfica. Of their last seven matches "both teams not to score" came out a winning bet six times. Odds on both teams not to score are best priced at 7/4 with the bookies.
Benfica vs Barcelona Results
Benfica vs Barcelona Betting Tips
Benfica against Barcelona is also a battle between Vangelis Pavlidis and Robert Lewandowski with both in decent form. The former scored seven while the latter has seven Champions League goals in their last six games respectively.
Benfica were able to win six of their previous 10 home games across all tournaments, while drawing two of the games. They suffered defeat in two of these outings. Barcelona won eight of their last 10 games away, drew two and suffered defeat in zero of them. Benfica managed to open the scoring no less than nine of their previous 10 league games on home soil. The visitors from Barcelona performed a similar feat as they scored the opener in eight of their last 10 away games.
In the last seven encounters between Benfica and Barcelona over 2.5 goals came out two times, as Benfica averaged one goal a game. Barcelona scored an average of 1.29 goals in these, while both teams scored one time. Benfica saw over 2.5 goals in six of their last ten matches across all tournaments, as they scored an average of 2.2 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals happened in seven of the last ten games for Barcelona, who scored 3.5 times on average in these matches.