Italy vs Turkey Betting Odds, Tips, Predictions, Preview 5th October 2026

Italy enter Stadio Renato Dell'Ara for a match against opponents Turkey this coming Monday. They are entering the final stretch of the Nations League A group stage as we have reached the fourth round. Supporters will be hoping to see a similarly thrilling encounter, as it turned out to be the last time Italy played against Turkey. It finished 1-4 in a great match between the pair.
Italy enter their upcoming game placed as number 15 in the FIFA world ranking. There is a bit of a gap to opponents Turkey, who enter the game ranked number 30 in the world.
Halfway through the group games Italy rank as number three on four, whereas Turkey have zero as number four.
When it comes to goal-scoring Italy could be more prolific, scoring 19 times in their previous ten games. That is an average of 1.9 goals per game in which, they conceded 16 times. This is an average of 1.6 a game, achieving a clean sheet in one games.
It has been a disappointing Nations League A tournament so far for Turkey. Three matches brought three defeats, and it's all about minimizing the damage from now on.
Turkey scored one goals, conceded eight and kept their opponents from scoring zero times in ten matches.
Italy vs Turkey Prediction
Italy Form
Italy have seen it all in their last three matches. Against Belgium, they came out empty-handed in a 0-2 defeat, whereafter they avenged themselves in a 1-4 win against Turkey. Their latest match saw them sharing the spoils in a 1-1 draw against France. Italy won half of their previous six internationals, while also drawing one. They lost two, while they scored nine and conceded nine goals.
Turkey Form
Turkey lost their previous three matches by 0-1 against France, 1-4 against Italy and 3-0 against Belgium. Turkey claimed just one win from the last six internationals. These also drew zero and lost five games, as they were outscored by 13 goals to four.
Anything but a home win would be a stunning result, and we back Italy not to be stunned, just like we back numerous goals to be scored when they face Turkey.
Turkey conceded a goal in their previous 7 matches.
Top Offers

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
The “Bet without Risk” Bonus applies exclusively to new players who open a player account at Stake and place the first bet on Sportsbook between $5 and $25. The KYC level2 MUST be verified. Place your first Sports bet and get your money back if your bet is considered “Lost”. The Bonus will be credited within 72 hours after the end of the event and in case your bet is considered lost. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad

VIP program. Immediate money withdrawal. Vault feature which makes it easier to control spending.
Bonus only available once to new customers. Min deposit value = $100. Max deposit value = $1000. The 200% bonus will be credited within 24-48 hours of depositing and reviewing the account. The wager attached to the bonus is 40x (deposit + bonus). Bonus can be used across all Sportsbook and Casino games. T&Cs apply. Gamble Responsibly. GamblingCare.ie. #ad
Italy vs Turkey Stats
- In 10 of the last 12 Italy matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- Italy have lost the last 3 home matches in a row in the Nations League A while scoring less than 1.5 goals
- In 4 of the last 5 Italy home matches in the Nations League A, the sum of goals was over 2.5
- In 5 of the last 7 Italy home matches the sum of goals was under 3.5
- In 3 of the last 4 Italy matches the sum of goals was under 2.5
- Turkey have lost 4 of the last 5 matches while scoring less than 1.5 goals
Italy vs Turkey Team News
Italy vs Turkey H2H
Supporters will be hoping to see a similarly thrilling encounter, as it turned out to be the last time Italy played against Turkey. It finished 1-4 in a great match between the pair. Italy outclassed Turkey in their latest encounter, when they claimed a 4-1 win. The bookies have Italy to win this match at best price odds of 9/20.
Italy vs Turkey Results
In the past seven matches between home side Italy and Turkey both teams found the back of the net five times. Best priced odds on both teams to score with the bookies are at 2/3.
Italy vs Turkey Betting Tips
Looking at the market for a goalscorer, it seems a good idea to side with Francesco Pio Esposito, who is performing well for Italy. He found the back of the net three times in his most recent national team outings. He'll be out to add more goals for his country against Turkey. The visitors will be looking up to Baris Alper Yilmaz to find the net once again, after managing two goals for Turkey in his last six matches.
Italy won five of the previous 10 home matches across all tournaments, while drawing one and losing four as well. Turkey won five from a possible 10 away from home, as they also drew one and lost four in this run. Keep an eye out for both teams not to score at Stadio Renato Dell'Ara, as BTTS only came out eight times in the previous 10 Nations League A matches here for Italy. Both teams scored in zero of the previous 10 away games for Turkey.
Over 2.5 goals came out four times in the last seven encounters between these two teams. Italy managed an average of two goals, with Turkey averaging 0.85 goals in these games. Both teams to score was a winning bet five times in this run of matches. Over 2.5 goals happened in three of Italy’s last ten matches across all tournaments. They pulled off an average of 1.6 goals during this run. Over 2.5 goals came up in five of Turkey's previous ten matches across all tournaments. They managed to score an average of 1.2 goals in these matches.